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    November 12

    股市隨筆

            今天共有兩篇網誌,標題是「股市隨筆」及「小故事大道理 ( 97 )」。
     
            恒指昨天升了359點,其中大約匯豐貢獻了200點。東亞銀行大漲,據公開資料所知,李氏家族持股量似乎不超過20%,現有兩家外來公司,各已持股超過10%,似乎有一場股權爭奪戰將要展開。以常理來分析,華資家族持有的股權不應那麼低,隨時爆出來李氏家族有隱蔽的或利益相關者持有東西,外來狙擊者可能無功而退,不過這僅屬猜測而已。
     
            中策集團有限公司,在大陸開放早期,曾在大陸收購輪胎及啤酒項目,大玩財技。記得受到當時中國政府當局狠批,以後沉寂了許多年。現在又大舉集資、借貸、收購AIG賣出來的南山人壽公司,這樣的操作,找任何一個公司空殼都可做到,當然背後操作的不是馬時亨,柯清輝,看來成功收購的機會極大。
     
            美元兌歐元跌到1.50,美匯指數創近期新低,商品、石油都大漲,有利股市,但總體大局仍是一個上落市,破一破上次高點20600點是可能的,大升則機會很小很小。

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